College Football Betting Nuggets: What to Watch Out for in Week 5

Friday

Houston Cougars at Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-4.5, 54.5), 7:30 ET on ESPN

  • Houston 11-3-1 ATS as an underdog on the road dating back to 2013.

  • Tulsa 1-6 ATS as a home favorite dating back to 2019.

  • The bass has struck in each of the last five meetings between these teams.

  • Tulsa 5-1 ATS in conference games dating back to last season.

No. 5 Iowa Hawkeyes (-3.5, 47.5) at Maryland Terrapins, 8 ET

  • Iowa 4-0 ATS in last four road games.

  • Iowa 18-6 ATS as a road favorite since 2013.

  • Maryland 3-11 ATS against the top five AP teams in the past 25 seasons.

  • The bass is 4-0 in games involving Iowa this season.

No. 13 BYU Cougars (-8.5, 61.5) at Utah State Aggies, 9 ET

  • Utah State is 1-10 ATS as a local underdog since 2016.

  • Utah is 9-3 ATS in non-conference games since 2018.

  • BYU is 1-4 ATS in the last five as a favorite.

  • Utah State is 1-4 ATS against ranked teams in the past five seasons.

Saturday

No. 8 Arkansas Razorbacks at No. 2 Georgia Bulldogs (-18.5, 48.5), noon ET on ESPN

  • Georgia 4-1 ATS in the last five as a double-digit favorite.

  • Arkansas 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as an underdog.

  • Arkansas 4-1 ATS as an underdog on the road since the beginning of last season.

  • Arkansas is 4-0 ATS this season, one of six teams with a perfect coverage percentage.

  • Georgia is currently favored by 18.5 over Arkansas. He is on track to be the biggest difference in a game among the top 10 SEC teams since the FBS / FCS division. The current biggest is when Alabama was favored 18 over Texas A&M in 2016. The Crimson Tide covered (won 33-14).

No. 14 Michigan Wolverines at Wisconsin Badgers (-1, 43.5), noon ET

  • Michigan is 0-11 as an underdog under Jim Harbaugh, the only FBS team without an outright win as a ‘dog on that stretch’ (since 2015).

  • Wisconsin 3-10 ATS against ranked teams dating back to 2018, the Badgers are 0-5 against ranked teams from the start of last season.

  • Wisconsin 11-2-1 ATS against Michigan dating back to 2000.

  • The under is 5-0 in the last five conference games involving Wisconsin.

Louisville Cardinals at No. 24 Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-6.5, 61.5), 12:30 ET

  • Louisville is 3-12 ATS in the last 15 against classified teams.

  • Louisville is 4-11 ATS in the last 15 as an underdog on the road.

  • Wake Forest is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 as a home favorite.

  • Wake Forest is 6-1 ATS in the last seven conference games.

No. 7 Cincinnati Bearcats (-2.5, 50.5) at No. 9 Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 2:30 ET

  • Notre Dame is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 against qualified teams.

  • Notre Dame is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 regular season games when its opponent has more than 10 days off.

  • Notre Dame is 6-2 ATS and SU under Brian Kelly as a local underdog, including five straight wins.

  • Cincinnati is a favorite on the road against a ranked opponent for the first time since 2009 (when Brian Kelly was the head coach).

UL Monroe Warhawks at No. 16 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (-34.5, 57), 2:30 ET on ESPN +

  • Coastal Carolina is 4-0-2 ATS in its last six as a home favorite.

  • UL Monroe is 0-5-1 ATS in road games dating back to last season.

  • Coastal Carolina 10-4-1 ATS in last 15 conference games.

No. 12 Ole Miss Rebels at No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (-14.5, 79.5), 3:30 ET

  • Nick Saban is 23-0 SU (14-9 ATS) in Alabama against his former assistants.

  • Saban went 3-1 ATS against former assistants last season, the only one he didn’t cover against was Lane Kiffin (favored by 23.5, won by 15).

  • The total is currently 79.5, on track to be the highest in an SEC game in the past 20 seasons; the over is 6-4 in the last 10 games involving two FBS teams (regardless of conference) with a total of 75 or more.

  • Alabama is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 as a double-digit favorite.

  • Lane Kiffin is 6-3 ATS as an underdog of two touchdowns or more.

No. 3 Oregon Ducks (-8, 57.5) at Stanford Cardinal, 3:30 ET on ABC

  • Oregon 2-8 ATS in their last 10 as a favorite.

  • Stanford is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 as a home underdog.

  • Stanford 1-5 ATS in the last six after a loss.

  • The final score is 10-4-1 in the last 15 games between Oregon and Stanford.

No. 6 Oklahoma Sooners (-10.5, 52.5) ​​at Kansas State Wildcats, 3:30 ET

  • Kansas State has eight overall victories as an underdog to Chris Klieman (since 2019), including two against Oklahoma. The eight overall victories are the most on the FBS in that span.

  • Oklahoma is 1-4 ATS in its last five as a double-digit favorite.

  • The final score is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between Oklahoma and Kansas State.

No. 11 Ohio State Buckeyes (-15, 58) at Rutgers Scarlet Knights, 3:30 ET

  • Ohio State is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 as a favorite on the road.

  • Rutgers is 5-1 ATS in its last six after a loss.

  • Rutgers is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 as an underdog.

  • Rutgers is 4-0 ATS this season, one of six teams with a perfect coverage percentage.

No. 10 Florida Gators (-8, 55) at Kentucky Wildcats, 6 ET on ESPN

  • Florida is 1-4 ATS in road games dating back to last season.

  • Kentucky is 4-1 ATS in the last five as a local underdog.

  • Kentucky is 14-6-1 ATS against ranked teams since 2014.

  • The under is 9-1 in the last 10 October games involving Kentucky.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at No. 23 NC State Wolfpack (-19.5, 55), 6 ET on ESPN + / ACCNX

  • NC State is 5-1 ATS as a home favorite from last season.

  • Louisiana Tech is 16-8-1 in the last 25 as an underdog on the road.

  • Louisiana Tech is 0-3 ATS in last three against ranked opponents.

Mississippi State Bulldogs at No. 15 Texas A&M Aggies (-7, 46), on SECN

No. 21 Baylor Bears at No. 19 Oklahoma State Cowboys (-3.5, 47.5), 7 ET on ESPN2

  • Oklahoma State is 14-7 ATS against Baylor since 2000.

  • Baylor is 4-1 ATS in his last five as an underdog on the road.

  • Oklahoma State is 1-4 in its last five as a home favorite.

  • Baylor is 13-7 ATS against classified teams dating back to 2015.

Indiana Hoosiers at No. 4 Penn State Nittany Lions (-12, 53.5), 7:30 ET on ABC

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at No. 17 Michigan State Spartans (-10.5, 64), 7:30 ET

  • Western Kentucky is 3-0 ATS in the last three road games.

  • Michigan State is 1-13 in the last 14 as a home favorite.

  • Michigan State is 4-11 ATS in the last 15 as a double-digit favorite.

Boston College Eagles at No. 25 Clemson Tigers (-16, 46), 7:30 ET at ACCN

  • Clemson is 0-5 ATS in the last five as a favorite.

  • Boston College is 13-6-1 ATS in the last 20 as an underdog on the road.

  • Boston College is 4-1 ATS in October dating back to last season.

No. 22 Auburn Tigers at LSU Tigers (-3.5, 54.5), 9 ET on ESPN

  • Auburn is 0-5 ATS as an underdog dating back to last season.

  • LSU is 4-1 ATS in the last five conference games, including covers in each of the last three.

  • The bass has hit in each of the last three meetings between these teams.

Arizona State Sun Devils at No. 20 UCLA Bruins (-3.5, 55.5), 10:30 ET

  • UCLA covered each of the last four meetings against the state of Arizona.

  • Arizona state is 4-1 ATS in the last five as an underdog on the road.

  • The over has hit in each of Arizona’s last three conference games.

No. 18 Fresno State Bulldogs (-10, 65.5) at Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors, 11 ET

  • Fresno State is 1-4 ATS in the last five games with more than six days off.

  • Hawai’i is 4-1 ATS in the last five as a home underdog.

  • Fresno State is 4-1 ATS on the road from last season.

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